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Month: January 2018

Shakespeare on Finance 5

For centuries, people have studied Shakespeare for his wit and his wisdom. For the past few months, we’ve been sharing some of that wisdom in a new series of articles called:

Shakespeare on Finance

Shakespeare never actually wrote about finance, of course. But we’ve found many of his lines contain important financial lessons. In this article, let’s look at one such line from one his most famous plays:

Quote #5:
“How poor are they that have not patience! What wound did ever heal but by degrees?”
Othello

The virtue of patience is one of the most underrated aspects of working toward your financial goals.

To illustrate what we mean, imagine you’re recovering from a broken leg. While recuperating, you dream of the day your body will be healed and you can walk normally again.

How would you go about trying to make that day happen? Pop a couple aspirin and start playing hopscotch? Of course not. You’d get a cast on your leg. You’d take it easy for several weeks. Then, little by little, you’d gradually increase your activity level, giving your leg time to heal properly. You’d be patient. Antsy, maybe, but patient.

The same attitude is required when it comes to finances. After all, there’s a reason why the term “get rich quick” arouses so much suspicion. Building wealth and reaching your goals takes time. It takes planning. It takes meticulous attention to detail.

For example, here are three important steps to reaching your financial goals, all of which require patience.

1. Avoid impulsive investment decisions

Some investors, anxious to accumulate as much wealth as possible, will throw a lot of money at a “hot stock” or hop on board the latest trend. Others, fearful of even the idea of losing money, may sell investments too quickly at the first sign of trouble.

Both types of investors can be their own worst enemy.

Investing absolutely requires patience. That’s because successful investing is all about the long-term, not the short. Making rash decisions can often lead to losing your hard-earned wealth – or never being in a position to accumulate wealth at all.

2. Focus on What You Can Control

As you travel down the road that leads to your financial goals, there are a number of things you simply can’t control. Sickness, accidents, the economy – life can throw many imposing obstacles in your way.

Fortunately, there are many things you can control. How you react to obstacles, for instance. What kind of career you have. How hard you work. How much you save, how much you invest, how much you spend.

In other words, you’re in charge of the seeds you plant in life’s garden. Show some patience by giving them a chance to grow.

3. Save

This often gets overlooked, but saving money isn’t just for kids hoping to buy a new bike. Saving money is about paying your future self. Think of all your future wants, needs, or goals, like buying a new car, going on a dream vacation, or helping your child pay for college. Saving money specifically for those purposes is a must. People who don’t save usually end up borrowing, which is as useful for building wealth as a leaky bucket is for collecting rainwater.

Saving, of course, takes time and patience. More than that, it takes discipline. The discipline to set money aside before you spend it.

But it’s one of the surest ways to reach your goals.

***

As you work to build wealth and reach your goals, always remember to exhibit patience. Patience in your financial plan. Patience in your investment strategy. Patience in yourself.

After all, “How poor are they that have not patience? What wound did ever heal but by degrees?”

We will conclude our Shakespeare on Finance series in the next article by examining a quote from the Bard’s most highly-regarded work of all: Hamlet.

Shakespeare on Finance 4

For centuries, people have studied Shakespeare for his wit and his wisdom.  For the past few months, we’ve been sharing some of that wisdom in a series of articles called:

Shakespeare on Finance

Shakespeare never actually wrote about finance, of course.  But we’ve found many of his lines contain important financial lessons.  Let’s look at one such line from one of the first poems Shakespeare ever published:

Quote #4:
“Foul-cankering rust the hidden treasure frets, but gold that’s put to use more gold begets.”

Venus and Adonis

Imagine a heap of gold coins hidden in some lightless, underground vault, protected by a maze of labyrinthine tunnels, booby traps, and a fire-breathing dragon.

Seems pretty safe, doesn’t it?

But as the gold lies in disuse, it slowly begins to rust.  Finally, after a decade, the owner comes to withdraw the gold.  He takes it to the marketplace, only for merchant after merchant to turn him away.

To his horror, the owner realizes his gold has lost far more than its shine.

The gold has also lost its value.

***

According to a survey by Gallup, 65% of American adults reported owning stocks back in 2007.1

Then the financial crisis hit.  The recession followed soon after.  And the S&P 500 dropped 38% in 2008 alone.2

Now, fast forward to today.  Per Gallup, only 52% of Americans report owning stock.1  In fact, that number has declined almost every year for the last ten years.

It’s not hard to understand why this is.  So many Americans were burned by the financial crisis.  So many saw the value of their retirement accounts plummet.  It’s only natural that many people – almost half the country – would prefer to keep their hard-earned money out of the markets.  Maybe they can’t hide it behind a fire-breathing dragon, but at least it feels safer.

But here’s the problem

Read the second half of that Shakespeare quote again: “…gold that’s put to use more gold begets.

As the number of American investors has dropped, the value of the stock market has gone up.  We’re now over eight years into the longest bull market in history – one in which many Americans have missed out.

Talk about gold begetting gold.

The sad truth is that for many Americans, their “treasure” has been left to rust.  But those who put their “gold” to use have likely seen it beget more over the last decade.

Now, before we go any further, it’s important to note that we are NOT saying you should go out and put all your money into stocks.  In truth, we’re not giving any investment advice at all.  We would never do that in an article.  Investment decisions should always be made after careful deliberation, and there’s no good “one size fits all” approach to investing.

Here’s what we are saying:

After the last bear market ended, many Americans made an emotional decision to hide their treasure, fearful of further losses.  The key word here is “emotional.”  Emotion, as the saying goes, is a good servant but a bad master, especially when it comes to making investment decisions.  Too often it leads to “buying high and selling low” when the opposite is what everyone hopes for.

Fact is, every financial decision we make involves risk.  Even deciding not to do something can be risky; in this case, the risk of missing out on opportunities.

That’s why it’s so important to have a plan.  A plan for reaching your financial goals.  A plan for putting your money to work instead of burying it under a mattress.  It’s the best way to take emotion out of the equation.  The best way to grow and manage risk.

So the next time you have to make a financial decision, ask yourself: are you making an emotional decision, or one based on a long-term plan?  Are you hiding your treasure, or putting it to work?

Is your gold more valuable when hidden…or when it’s out there begetting more?

In our next Shakespeare article, we’ll move back to his plays by examining a line from Othello.

1 “Just over half of Americans own stocks, matching record low,” Gallup, April 20, 2016.  http://news.gallup.com/poll/190883/half-americans-own-stocks-matching-record-low.aspx

2 Myles Udland, “The Dow just hit 20,000, but half of America missed out,” Yahoo! Finance, January 25, 2017.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-dow-just-hit-20000-but-half-of-america-missed-out-181139332.html

Breaking Down the Tax Bill

Over the last few months, Republicans in Congress have labored over a new tax bill.  On Friday, December 22, President Trump signed the final bill into law.

It’s the most significant overhaul of the tax code since 1986 – and it’s something political, legal, and financial professionals will be analyzing for months to come.  The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, as it’s officially known, contains many provisions affecting everyone from parents to small business owners – provisions that could have a significant impact on your overall finances.

Taxation is a politically-charged subject, of course.  Everyone has an opinion, because everyone’s got a stake.  We have opinions of our own, of course, but we’re not a political analyst.  We’re financial advisors.  So, we’ve tried to write this article to be as neutral as possible.  For that reason, you’re about to see a lot of numbers.

Most of these provisions go into effect in 2018.  That means we should start educating ourselves on the basics of the new tax bill now.  To help, we’ve prepared a sort of primer that breaks down some of the main changes to the tax code.  Understand, this article is not intended to be a complete, exhaustive analysis of the entire bill.  But at least this way, you’ll be familiar with some of the broad strokes.

As always, if you have any questions, please don’t hesitate to let us know.  Additionally, if you would ever like us to confer with your personal tax advisor (or recommend a good one!), we would be happy to do so.

 

Basic Provisions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act

Before we dive into the new bill, it’s important to understand that most of the following changes affecting individuals and couples are set to expire in 2025Thereafter, tax rates and other provisions revert to their current form unless extended by a future Congress.

Most of the changes affecting corporations, on the other hand, are permanent.

 

Changes to Tax Rates – Individuals & Married Couples

When Republicans in the House of Representatives released their initial version of the bill, the plan was to shrink the number of tax brackets from seven to four.  The final bill retains all seven brackets; however, rates for most brackets have come down.1

Current Tax Brackets New Tax Brackets in 2018 Income for Individuals Income for Married Couples
10% 10% Up to $9,525 Up to $19,050
15% 12% $9,526 to $38,700 $19,051 to $77,400
25% 22% $38,701 to $82,500 $77,401 to $165,000
28% 24% $82,501 to $157,500 $165,001 to $315,000
33% 32% $157,501 to $200,000 $315,001 to $400,000
35% 35% $200,001 to $500,000 $400,001 to $600,000
39.6% 37% Over $500,000 Over $600,000

 

Date of Effect: January 1, 2018

Expiration: December 31, 2025

 

Changes to Tax Rates – Corporations

Fun fact: The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is the largest one-time tax cut for corporations in U.S. history, which are set to see their tax rate drop from 35% to 21%.2  This is slightly higher than the 20% tax rate Republicans were originally shooting for, and significantly higher than the 15% President Trump called for.  But it’s still a major boon for many businesses, especially large corporations, which Republicans hope will lead to more jobs and increased investment.  (Hence the name of the bill.)

Date of Effect: January 1, 2018

Expiration: Permanent

Changes to Deductions – Individuals & Married Couples

To understand the changes being made to non-corporate deductions, it’s helpful to first understand how the current tax code works.

There are two basic kinds of deductions, standard and itemized.  As the IRS explains it, the standard deduction is a “dollar amount that reduces the amount of income on which you are taxed.”7  Currently, single individuals can take a standard deduction of $6,350.  Married couples can take a $12,700 deduction.  Married couples with children can take even higher deductions.

Under the new plan, the standard deduction goes up to $12,000 for single individuals and $24,000 for married couples.3  That means many people will see a very nice tax cut for the next several years.

But when it comes to the standard deduction, there’s a catch: you can’t take it if you itemize deductions.  So, while the bill doubles the standard deduction, that benefit could be offset for some because of changes to itemized deductions.  This is especially true for those living in high-tax states.

Here are some changes to common itemized deductions3:

  • Mortgage interest: Currently, if you take out a new mortgage you can deduct the interest on debt up to $1,000,000. Under the new law, if you take out a new mortgage you will only be allowed to deduct the interest on debt up to $750,000.  This includes your primary residence and one additional “qualified residence,” like a cabin or mobile home.
  • State and local taxes: A popular deduction is to write off state and local tax payments from federal tax payments. Originally, the Republican tax plan called for removing this particular tax break altogether, and you may have seen that reported in the news.  This did not sit well with representatives from high-tax states, however, so a compromise was reached.  Now, taxpayers can deduct no more than $10,000 of any combination of state income taxes, local income taxes, and property taxes.
  • Medical expenses: Originally, the House Republicans’ version of the bill would have eliminated all deductions for medical expenses, but the final version is quite different. Currently, you can deduct out-of-pocket medical expenses that exceed 10% of your “adjusted gross income.”  (This is your total gross income minus specific deductions.)  In 2018 and 2019, you can deduct out-of-pocket expenses that exceed 7.5% of your adjusted gross income.4

   In 2020, the deduction reverts to the original level of 10%.4

Date of Effect: January 1, 2018

Expiration: December 31, 2025 for changes to mortgage interest and state/local income tax deductions.  January 1, 2020 for changes to medical expense deductions.

Changes to Deductions – Businesses

One of the most significant provisions in the new bill is how it affects small businesses – specifically “pass-through” businesses.

What is a pass-through business?  Well, for many small business owners, business income is taxed the same as their individual tax rate.  In other words, any business income passes through to the owner to be taxed at the owner’s individual level.  Essentially, this is a way to ensure a business owner doesn’t have to pay income taxes twice.

The new bill allows pass-through businesses to take a 20% deduction on their business income taxes. However, owners of service-oriented businesses (like a doctor’s office) cannot take the deduction unless their taxable income is less than $315,000 (if married) or $157,000 (if single).5

Date of Effect: January 1, 2018

Expiration: December 31, 2025

Changes to the Alternative Minimum Tax

The Alternative Minimum Tax, or AMT, has long been one of the most complex aspects of the tax code.  Enacted in 1969, the AMT was originally designed to prevent the wealthy from using a dizzying array of credits, deductions, and loopholes to avoid taxes altogether.  Over the decades, however, the AMT began hitting those who were already paying a host of other taxes.

Calculating what amount people actually pay is a complex process, and the new bill doesn’t change that.  What does change, however, is the threshold at which people are exempt.  For individuals, the exemption level increases from $54,300 to $70,300.  For married couples who file jointly, the exemption rises from $84,500 to $109,400.6

For corporations, on the other hand, the AMT is eliminated altogether.  Most industries claim this will help them spend more on research, expansion, and jobs, which would surely be welcome news to investors.

Date of Effect: January 1, 2018

Expiration: December 31, 2025 for individuals and married couples.  For corporations, the elimination of the AMT is permanent.

Changes to the Estate Tax

Long derided as a “death tax” by its detractors, the estate tax is not being abolished, as was originally the case.  The number of people required to pay it, however, will decrease.  Currently, estates passed onto heirs are taxed up to 40%, with exemptions for those with estates worth up to $5.49 million ($10.98 million for married couples).

The new law doubles both levels.4

Date of Effect: January 1, 2018

Expiration: December 31, 2025

Other Changes

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is over five-hundred pages long.  As you can imagine, it contains a lot of provisions – far too many to cover in a single letter.  But here’s a quick rundown of some other significant changes4:

  • End of the Individual Mandate: After failing to repeal the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, earlier in the year, Republicans were nevertheless able to repeal one of the health care law’s signature provisions. The individual mandate, which requires people above a certain income level to buy insurance or pay a penalty, will end beginning in 2019.
  • Boost to the Child Tax Credit: Currently, parents up to a certain income level may claim a $1,000 credit for each child under age 17. Under the new law, this credit rises to $2,000 for both single individuals and married couples making up to $400,000.
  • Moving Expenses and Tax Preparation Deductions: Two more itemized deductions are consigned to the trash bin of history. Starting next year, people can no longer deduct either moving or tax preparation expenses.

What Didn’t Change

Congress debated many provisions that ultimately didn’t make it into the final bill.  These include:

  • Student Loan Deductions: The original House bill eliminated the option of deducting student loans, but the final bill left it untouched.
  • Changes to 401(k) Accounts: At one point, it was rumored that the bill would restrict the amount of pre-tax dollars people could contribute to their 401(k).  In the end, the rules governing 401(k) accounts went unchanged.
  • Capital Gains When Selling a Home: Married couples can deduct up to $500,000 in capital gains when selling their home, so long as they have lived it in for at least two out of the five years before the date of sale. Initial drafts of the bill would have limited this, but the provision escaped unscathed.
  • Selling Stock: When selling shares of a stock or mutual fund, investors can choose which shares to sell. This enables them to sell only those shares that would incur the least in taxes.  The Senate tried to clamp down on this, to no avail.

Final Analysis

Still with us?  Haven’t fallen asleep yet?  At least this letter isn’t as long as the tax bill itself!

To be honest, there really can be no “final analysis” at this point.  Tax experts are still wrestling with many of the bill’s provisions, and it may be months before we know all the consequences, intended or otherwise.

Furthermore, despite the fact President Trump signed the bill into law, plenty of questions remain, including:

  • What happens if Democrats regain control of Congress? Will parts of the law be repealed?
  • What happens by 2026? Will a future Congress extend these tax cuts, or will they be allowed to expire?
  • Will this bill create millions of new jobs and expand economic growth? Or will it merely add millions more to the national deficit?  You can find experts on both sides of the issue.  All I can say is, “Stay tuned.”

Generally speaking, the following things are clear:

  1. Most Americans will enjoy a tax cut, at least temporarily.
  2. Most businesses will see a significant reduction in taxes, which could, in theory, stimulate both the markets and the overall economy.

As we said above, this article is not intended to be a complete, exhaustive breakdown of everything in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.  So, here’s what you should do: Write down any questions you may have.  Hear something on the radio that doesn’t make sense?  Write it down.  Read something in the newspaper and want to know what it means?  Write it down.  Then, feel free to contact us with any questions.  As always, we’ll do our best to answer them.  If we can’t, we’ll direct you to a tax professional who can.

Taxes are a loaded topic, and it’s impossible to predict exactly what the future holds.  That’s why we will continue to examine both the new tax code and the markets, so we can keep you informed about any potential issues or opportunities.

As always, remember that we at Minich MacGregor Wealth Management are here to help you work toward your financial goals.  Please let us know if there’s ever anything we can do.

Sources

1 Rob Berger, “The New 2018 Federal Income Tax Brackets & Rates,” Forbes, December 17, 2017.  https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertberger/2017/12/17/the-new-2018-federal-income-tax-brackets-rates/#769a8d28292a

2 Heather Long, “The final GOP tax bill is complete.  Here’s what is in it.” The Washington Post, December 15, 2017.  https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2017/12/15/the-final-gop-tax-bill-is-complete-heres-what-is-in-it/?utm_term=.0c659bee9706

3 Ron Lieber and Tara Siegel Bernard, “What’s in the Tax Bill, and How It Will Affect You,” The New York Times, December 16, 2017.  https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/16/your-money/tax-plan-changes.html?_r=0

4 Toby Eckert and Aaron Lorenzo, “What’s in the new tax bill,” Politico, December 14, 2017.  https://www.politico.com/interactives/2017/whats-in-the-new-tax-bill/

5 Michael Rapoport, “What the Tax Bill Means for Pass-Through Business Owners,” The Wall Street Journal, December 19, 2017.  https://www.wsj.com/articles/what-the-tax-bill-means-for-pass-through-business-owners-1513720953

6 Jeanne Sahadi, “What’s in the GOP’s final tax plan,” CNN Money, December 22, 2017.  http://money.cnn.com/2017/12/15/news/economy/gop-tax-plan-details/index.html?iid=EL

7 “Standard Deduction at a Glance,” Internal Revenue Service, https://www.irs.gov/credits-deductions/individuals/standard-deduction-at-a-glance